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NZD/USD treads carefully ahead of major risk events

  • NZD/USD is currently trading at 0.6852 from a high of 0.6880 from the European session where the price moved into a sideways drift in early NY from the lows of 0.6842. 

The bird was lifted by a rebound in business confidence while the GDT dairy auction resulted in prices up 1.7% overall, with whole milk powder up 0.3% (vs futures predictions of +3%), skimmed milk powder up 3.4%, and butter up 4.9%. 

  • Wall Street manages to close in the green ahead of the FOMC

As for US data, the US housing starts rose 3.2% in November but analysts at Westpac argued that should not dispel concerns about the weakening housing sector: "The previous month was revised lower and all the gains came from the volatile multiples category; single-family housing starts fell 4.6%, making it three consecutive monthly declines."

FOMC outlook

  • Federal Reserve Preview: Slowdown ahead

Meanwhile, there will be market jitters as we approach the FOMC decision and local GDP tomorrow, which should make for a volatile playing field. The US dollar has been in the balance of whether the Fed will be making policy even more data dependent and whether we will see a decline in the 2019 median dot to two hikes from three. The Fed is expected to raise the target range for Fed funds to 2.25%-2.50%.

NZD/USD levels

  • Support 0.6820 
  • Resistance 0.6980

NZD/USD is oscillating around the 200-D SMA where it slipped below last week with eyes on the 38.2% retracement Fibo en route for a test of the 100-D SMA down at 0.6670. However, so long a the bird can stablise here, prospects can be for a flight towards the 61.8% Fibo at 0.7048. 

Wall Street manages to close in the green ahead of the FOMC

Wall Street on Tuesday was looking like it was on the way to the worst levels of 2018 at one stage, but somehow, the indexes managed to eke out gains,
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Australia Westpac Leading Index (MoM) fell from previous 0.08% to -0.1% in November

Australia Westpac Leading Index (MoM) fell from previous 0.08% to -0.1% in November
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