Back
2 Dec 2014
Another leg up for the dollar? - SG
FXStreet (Barcelona) - Kit Juckes, Global Head of Currency Research at Societe Generale, notes that dollar can make further gains against the Yen as Nikkei drags USD/JPY higher slowly.
Key Quotes
“Yesterday FX price moves overall, were a reminder not to read too much into Asian Monday trends. The dollar moved higher but ran out of steam almost as soon as European markets opened. However, a (downward) shifting inflation outlook, while it may make the Fed ponder when to raise rates, will have a bigger impact on ECB and BOJ policy.”
“Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann is this morning’s main central bank speaker (Erkki Liikanen, Bank of Finland a Governor, is also due to speak), and the message will probably be hawkish: There are lots of obstacles in the way of sovereign QE. But we know that and the sense that it is just a matter of time before falling consumer prices lead to QE will only grow even if no-one expects anything more than (more) words from this week’s ECB meeting. In that regard, there will likely be sellers in any Euro bounce.”
“Meanwhile, the Nikkei is dragging USD/JPY slowly higher and a break of 120 is still possible this week. Against that backdrop the dollar overall can make further gains.”
“The DXY index is helped by a falling RSI that reflect the loss of momentum we’ve seen in the dollar’s advance. No longer overbought or moving too fast, it may be ready for the next stage o its rally.”
Key Quotes
“Yesterday FX price moves overall, were a reminder not to read too much into Asian Monday trends. The dollar moved higher but ran out of steam almost as soon as European markets opened. However, a (downward) shifting inflation outlook, while it may make the Fed ponder when to raise rates, will have a bigger impact on ECB and BOJ policy.”
“Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann is this morning’s main central bank speaker (Erkki Liikanen, Bank of Finland a Governor, is also due to speak), and the message will probably be hawkish: There are lots of obstacles in the way of sovereign QE. But we know that and the sense that it is just a matter of time before falling consumer prices lead to QE will only grow even if no-one expects anything more than (more) words from this week’s ECB meeting. In that regard, there will likely be sellers in any Euro bounce.”
“Meanwhile, the Nikkei is dragging USD/JPY slowly higher and a break of 120 is still possible this week. Against that backdrop the dollar overall can make further gains.”
“The DXY index is helped by a falling RSI that reflect the loss of momentum we’ve seen in the dollar’s advance. No longer overbought or moving too fast, it may be ready for the next stage o its rally.”